SAT

Common Data Set

We've spent a fair number of hours scraping data off common data sets.  These are standardized data submissions that most universities post yearly.  A good directory can be found here.  These files contain a host of data on enrolment, applications, and retention but we chose to pluck out three key numbers:

-  Admit rate (percent of completed applicants accepted)
- SAT/ACT submission rate (percent of enrolled students who submitted standardized test scores)
-  Yield percentage (percent of admitted students who enrolled)

We compiled this data from over 200 American universities using the US News rankings as a point of departure for selection.  For this month we will be looking at admit rates and submission rates.  To keep the data as clean as possible, we have stripped out schools that are test blind (UCs) and also those that are test required (MIT, Georgia/Florida publics, Georgetown, service academies).  We have also not included schools that didn't include testing data (ahem, Dartmouth et. al.).
By admit % Submit Rate Admit rate

Top 20 69.6% 6.5%

Top 40 62.7% 9.3%

Top 60 61.3% 12.8%

Top 100 57.8% 23.4%

Top 150 55.4% 35.7%

Top 200 54.3% 47.5%

Over half of the enrolled student in the 200 most rejective American universities submitted test scores, nearly 70% to the top 20.
By admit % Submit Rate Admit rate

1 to 20 69.6% 6.5%

21 to 40 55.9% 12.0%

41 to 60 58.5% 19.9%

61 to 100 52.7% 39.8%

101 to 150 50.3% 60.0%

151 to 200 51.1% 82.6%

Segmented by group, the number is still well north of 50%.  So among all enrolled students in schools from number 41 (Wesleyan U) to 60 (Scripps), 58.5% submitted test scores and the average admit rate among those schools was about 20%.

How is something that over half of people do really "optional"?  Seems that a better word might be "preferred".  

We'll be doing some analysis on yield and also on how these numbers differ among large publics, privates, and smaller colleges in the months to come.

Recent Trends in Admissions and Testing - August 2022

We will need another hour-long webinar to even come close to covering all the developments in the world of testing and admissions.  The impact of the Covid pandemic is ongoing and indeed will be echoing around the halls of learning for years to come.  American Universities stopped requiring tests students couldn't take, and there was an ensuing flight to perceived quality among applicants.  The direct result was a well-reported and alarming reduction in the acceptance rate of the most competitive schools as students no longer saw a (relatively) middling test score as a barrier to entry.    

The universities opened their application doors up widely and have been enjoying an unprecedented surge in interest, applications, and application fees.  What they haven't done is expanded any of the entering class size to any real degree with giants such the University of California system actually reducing the seats available to out-of-state applicants.  The net result at UC is that only 2,442 international students were accepted for 2023, down 12.2% from last year.  (What isn't reported is how many of these international admits were olympic or professional-caliber athletes...)

The net result is that universities that used to be very completive, are now absurdly competitive, and those that used to be a bit competitive, are now very competitive.  Past historical data from your high school on admissions into universities X, Y, and Z are now no longer nearly as indicative as it used to be and students will need to look at the last couple admissions cycles instead.  In many cases, a school that would have been a bit of a "reach" for a student in 2018 is now out of reach - even if GPA/IB results are outstanding and SAT scores are tip-top.  For those of graduating in 2023, the key is to adjust your expectations and take to mind that the most competitive schools often aren't the best choice for your future.  

Nearly all American schools are now some form of "Test Optional", and this will continue to be the new normal.  Students will need to consider how their results on the SAT/ACT compare to the most recent data from the university on accepted students - check the Common Data Set rather than the university - just google "Common Data Set XXX" to get data on XXX University.  Please also note that the last couple years of data will have inflated test scores from accepted students as only the students who scored high will submit their scores.  Though data is still spotty, students who submit scores generally have a better chance of acceptance - though these same students are those that tend to be stronger academically, something the tests profess to measure.

Oh, we almost forgot to remind readers that the SAT is changing format in 2023 to a new digital format.  That will present an entirely new array of variables and challenges to an already-Byzantine process.  We'll circle back on this in subsequent editions of this newsletter...

August 2021 Update on Testing in Singapore

Test availability in Singapore is still a major issue for many students. If you go to a school that is a "closed" SAT test center, then lucky you. These schools administer the test only to present or past students. If you don't go to these schools then seats are absurdly limited and at present the earliest reliably available date is March 12, 2022. Large local Singaporean system schools used to take up the lion's share of the demand for the SAT, but these schools are currently not acting as test centers due to Covid-related restrictions. Until these schools open up again, this situation will not improve. If you are stuck not being able to take the test, don't despair! Universities can't require that you take a test that you can't access and nearly every one of them is formally test optional for those applying to start in August 2022. Take a few deep breaths and talk with your university counseling team at your school or contact us if your school doesn't have one.

In the past, there was an option available for letting "College Board find you a place" for the SAT. This allowed College Board to vet testers and prioritize those that are bone fide Singapore residents for places. Otherwise all the spots were historically taken by students from China who are unable to take the test there. The registration platform has been "upgraded" in the last 4 months and this option seems to be no longer available. College Board as an organization is focused on the domestic American market (where the real money is) and phone calls to the customer service lines or pleading emails will sadly probably be a waste of time. So, get your spot for March or May 2022 now! If you are applying this year to start in 2022, not having a test score shouldn't hurt you, so concentrate on other areas of your application.

What about the ACT? The test is listed as available on the registration website with a number of options through Spring of 2022. This test is now taken exclusively on a computer in an authorised test center but we have profound concerns that what is listed on the website doesn't match up with reality. There are some test centers in the region listed on the website as available that we know aren't going to be open for months to come. So, have a try if you feel lucky but don't worry or stress if the test doesn't actually happen. We are operating in a world of modest hopes and low expectations. Your grades in school have always been the most important part of your application and is where you should be focused.

What the new SAT changes REALLY mean for Singaporeans

Our Program Manager, Khalid Barnwell, was asked by a Straits Times reporter what he believed the upcoming changes to the SAT would mean for Singaporean test takers.  Today's Straits Times feature stated the following:

"Mr. Khalid Barnwell, an instructor from Testtakers Singapore, added that doing away with negative marking -deducting points for wrong answers - will encourage students to take more risks in attempting questions instead of leaving them blank."

The overall slant of the article was that the new changes to the test will benefit Singaporean students.

But!  Khalid's actual comments that were sent to the reporter said a little bit more, and it didn't paint as rosy a picture for Singaporeans:

On the elimination of points deduction for wrong answers:

In a way it's nice that points will not be deducted for wrong answers.  In general, based on my experience, students in Singapore are risk adverse, and tend to leave questions unanswered if they do not absolutely know the correct answer, as opposed to those who actually benefit overall from aggressively, yet intelligently guessing.  Since test takers in fact do suffer a penalty for not answering questions due to the Raw Score calculation of the SAT (unanswered questions reduce one's maximum possible score), the fear of having points deducted will go down and as a result lead to students taking more of a chance and in general attaining higher raw scores.  Note, however, that the Scaled Score algorithm will adapt to reflect this effect and will reduce the score boost effect for all."

On the essay:

"The essay will be optional, and that at first glance will be a boon to Singaporean students, who generally struggle with the persuasive essay style that now features on the test.  However it could be the case that certain universities will still ask for the essay, for it serves other purposes than gauging writing ability (it also serves as a way to determine whether admissions application essays submitted are actually the student's essay, or the work of hired application essay writers).  In general, universities in the US (especially the most selective ones) like to have as much information about the applicant as possible, so I wouldn't be surprised if a significant number of schools will still ask for the essay as part of their admissions requirements.  So the gain to Singaporean test takers will increase, but only for those who apply to less selective schools that tend to require less. But for those who are applying to a range of schools in the US with varying selectivity in order to increase their chances of getting into at least one school, they will probably have to do the essay anyway just in case at least one of those schools require it.

Since the essay apparently will focus on building an essay based on provided passages and information sources, students will have an easier time formulating valid arguments and analyses, for they will not have to think of their own examples and references to back up their claims.  This will benefit Singaporean testers who usually struggle in this regard."

On grammar:

"It remains to be seen how much grammar will feature in the test, but if the grammar-oriented questions are eliminated, that will definitely benefit Singaporean testers, who struggle with some of the issues particular to American English and to "SAT English" - concepts that the test likes to include that technically is correct but is not commonly used, even to Americans."

On vocabulary and reading:

"The higher-level vocabulary usage is only minor and won't affect the test that much, for they feature in relatively few situations on the test.  There are many lower and medium-level words that occur frequently on the test and they will probably continue to appear.  The problem for Singaporeans is that many of these words are not used often here and have multiple meanings based on context.  I wouldn't be surprised if vocabulary-in-context questions become more prevalent in the new edition of the SAT, which is bad news for Singaporean testers.

The Reading passages will feature more passages from US History, so those who are not particularly familiar with such passages and their historical relevance will suffer a disadvantage.  This is therefore a potentially significant problem for Singaporeans, who know little to nothing about such subject matter."

On the Math:

"Singaporeans typically perform relatively well on the Math section, and since the scope of the test will narrow in the future, I expect performance levels to increase for Singaporean testers.  Reducing calculator use will have little effect on performance for Singaporeans, for technically Singaporeans don't really need the calculator for the current SAT.  Note that in general the Singaporean students who take the SAT are among the highest performing students academically in the country (as opposed to the population in the US who take the test, which includes a greater cross-section of all students)."

Final thoughts:

"Overall, the SAT has undergone numerous tweaks over the years, yet the need to navigate through the pitfalls and traps that the SAT creators love to include will remain in some sort of fashion.  There are many concepts covered in the test that are and will remain American in nature and usage, and the need for Singaporeans to familiarize themselves with such differences in grammar usage, vocabulary, writing style and, now, cultural relevance will endure.   Those who are familiar with these differences will possess a competitive advantage at the end of the day."